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The Divorce Bill

Those who desire Brexit are claiming that there will be no problem establishing independent trade deals with EU member countries. They also seem to believe that such deals can be made quickly and will be sought as determinedly by the EU members as by an outsider Britain. And one of the main reasons cited for wanting Brexit is the cost to the UK of EU membership. 

If trade deals can be established, they must necessarily be a costly compromise. The EU will want to maximise tax revenues from trade with an outsider nation, and it will insist upon compliance with all EU regulations for both the trading procedure and the product or service traded. The red tape that will attach to trade with the EU will surely be far more extensive - and therefore time consuming and costly - than it is now. The payment and collection of taxes is a very expensive process. 

Then comes the question of who is going to do the negotiating of the trade deals ... and who is going to pay for that. The bottom line is that the bill will be met by UK tax payers. That means you and me. And it will be an enormous bill. We all know couples who have ended up with a horribly reduced standard of living after the divorce fees have been paid. Divorce from the EU will not be dissimilar in cost and effect for the UK. 

When considering the timescales involved in formulating trade deals, consider the fact that it has taken more than 42 years for Britain to negotiate a position within the EU that is satisfactory to the point that the majority of the UK's MPs and MEPs are in favour of remaining in the EU. If it has taken over 42 years to reach this stage, is it reasonable to believe that the divorce settlement in all its facets can be negotiated in a matter of months? Ten years would appear to be an optimistic estimate. 

If we leave the EU, I think we have a good chance of landing ourselves with the highest divorce bill ever recorded, along with all of the hellish interim stages that divorce entails. We'd do better to stay in the EU and put in a plea for marriage guidance counselling for all of the 28 nations in the overcrowded marriage that Europe is. 

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